Vol. 01  ·  ●  Briefing Service  ·  Est. 2026

Intelligence briefings that read satellites, maritime flows, news, and politics together — catching the pattern before the headlines do.

Aavistus (Finnish: inkling) fuses NO₂ and nighttime-light anomalies, AIS vessel traffic, OpenSky flights, and multilingual news across FI, EN, and ZH into a single daily read. No dashboards. No noise. One thesis a day, with evidence.

Join the waitlist → See a sample briefing
Sources
80+ feeds
Languages
FI · EN · ZH
Cadence
06:00 UTC daily
§01 · What we see

Three streams, read as one.

We watch the physical world from orbit, the logistical world at sea and in the sky, and the narrative world in print. Each stream has its own tells. The signal lives in the seam.

Stream 01◐

Satellites

Daily scans of NO₂ plumes, nighttime lights, SST, NDVI vegetation and aerosol optical depth. We flag where physics quietly changed overnight.

Sentinel-5PVIIRS DNBCopernicus SSTMODIS NDVI
What we saw ahead of the headline Average VIIRS nighttime-light radiance over greater Havana fell from 47 to roughly 25 μW/cm²/sr between 8 and 14 March 2026. CNN and Bloomberg framed Cuba's island-wide grid collapse on 16 March — the signal was already six days old.
Stream 02◑

Flows

AIS vessel positions, OpenSky flight tracks, chokepoint densities, airspace restrictions and no-fly NOTAMs — the logistics of power, plotted.

AISOpenSkyADS-BNOTAMLloyd's List
What we saw ahead of the headline Yle (Finland) and Lloyd's List flagged Iranian transit tolls on Strait of Hormuz shipping before Bloomberg and Reuters caught up on 20 March 2026. Gulf crude routing was already shifting while English-language markets were still digesting yesterday's news.
Stream 03◒

News & Politics

80+ feeds in Finnish, English and Chinese. Ministry releases, central-bank speak, sanctions lists, parliamentary minutes. Tracked by topic, weighted by venue.

ReutersXinhuaHSOFACMOFAECB
What we saw ahead of the headline Nordic and Spanish-language wires — Aftenposten, MercoPress, Siste — traced Cuba's sanctions-driven blackouts from 13 March 2026. English-language MSM only framed the island-wide story three days later, after the grid had already failed.
§02 · Sample briefing

One thesis a day. Evidence, not vibes.

Every briefing names a pattern, shows the underlying signals with sources, and tells you what would confirm or break it. Redactions below mark subscriber-only detail.

⚠ ILLUSTRATIVE ONLY The briefing below — thesis, evidence chain, confidence score, anomaly composite (σ), correlated-instruments table, watchlist — is a format demo. Numbers and sources are fabricated to show what a real Aavistus briefing will look like. A real briefing built from live SenOS data is in preparation for launch.
ILLUSTRATIVEIssue № 0412 · Tue 14 Apr 2026 · 06:00 UTC Confidence 0.68

A quiet port, a loud atmosphere: Bandar Abbas running on fumes, not on paper.

Vessel density at the Iranian export terminal fell a further 22% WoW while tropospheric NO₂ over the adjacent refinery complex held flat — an implausible combination unless throughput is being rerouted onshore. Chinese-language shipping press is notably quiet.

  • D-11 · 03 Apr AIS: aggregate vessel-hours at Bandar Abbas anchorage down -22.4% WoW, -41.1% vs 90-day trail.
  • D-08 · 06 Apr Sentinel-5P NO₂ column steady at 218 µmol/m² (±4) — no corresponding decline. Nighttime radiance +7%.
  • D-05 · 09 Apr OpenSky: three ████████ cargo rotations into ████████████, pattern unseen since Q3 2025.
  • D-02 · 12 Apr Xinhua wire: silent on a tranche our Finnish desk expected; HS reports separately on █████████████.
  • D-00 · 14 Apr Composite anomaly score crosses σ = 2.4. Historical base rate for headline within 10d: 63%.

What to watch next

  1. Reuters or Bloomberg headline from a Dubai dateline within 72 hours.
  2. Second-derivative spike in NO₂ over the ███████ inland corridor.
  3. OFAC SDN update — watch for entity names ending in ██████.
Compiled 06:00 UTC · MACHINE-DRAFTED · ANALYST-REVIEWED Sentinel-5PVIIRSAISOpenSkyReutersXinhuaHS

— Sample shown. Names redacted. Actual briefings are delivered at 06:00 UTC to subscribers only. —

§03 · Method

From pixel to paragraph, in four steps.

The pipeline is deliberately boring. The interpretation is where the work is.

Step 01 Collect Hourly pulls from orbital feeds, AIS ground stations, OpenSky, and 80+ news sources in three languages. Normalised to a single time-stamped graph. →
Step 02 Detect anomaly Per-pixel and per-entity z-scores against 90-day and seasonal baselines. The bar is high: stream-level flags rarely make it through. →
Step 03 Correlate Graph joins across geography, entity and topic. A spike earns a thesis only when it resonates across two or more streams within a plausible window. →
Step 04 Synthesize A human analyst writes the briefing. Machines draft the numbers; the paragraph is ours. Every claim links to the underlying signal.
§04 · Readers

For readers who pay for interpretation, not data.

Not for retail traders. Aavistus is a reading service; what you do with the inkling is your job.

Portfolio
hedging

Position before the wire does.

Family offices and strategy desks use Aavistus to front-run tail risk — commodity chokepoints, sanction cascades, climate shocks — without wading through sell-side noise.

"We stopped trying to read everything. We read Aavistus at 07:00 and decide by 09:00."

Supply-chain
risk

See the disruption before the PO slips.

Procurement and continuity teams watch port, refinery, airspace and weather anomalies near their critical nodes. Exposure mapped to specific SKUs on request.

"It's the only dashboard that tells us why, not just that."

Editorial
tip-offs

A beat sheet, three days early.

Journalists and long-form desks subscribe for lead generation and verification. Every thesis ships with its raw evidence trail and source timestamps.

"We treat each briefing as an anonymous tip with a really good footnote section."

Strategic
planning

Signal for the scenarios that matter.

Think tanks and corporate strategy shops use Aavistus to pressure-test roadmaps, war-game quarterly plans, and monitor named adversaries across three languages at once.

"The FI/ZH cross-check finds what our English reading missed."

§05 · Pricing

Two tiers. No upsells.

The free tier is a window into the method. The subscription is the whole service — today's data, today's briefing.

Tier I

Open Window

PriceFree/ registered
  • 24-hour lagged anomaly maps
  • Public news feed, FI / EN / ZH
  • Weekly roundup, no thesis
  • Today's data
  • Daily written briefing
  • Evidence trail & source links
  • Analyst Q&A channel
Register free →
Tier II · Subscription

The Briefing

Founding cohort€49/ month

Locked rate for the first 120 subscribers. Standard pricing €99/month from Q4 2026.

  • Today's data, live, all layers
  • Daily written briefing at 06:00 UTC
  • Deep-dive theses, weekly
  • Full evidence trail, downloadable
  • FI / EN / ZH desk cross-checks
  • Custom watchlist (entities, regions)
  • Analyst Q&A, 24h turnaround
Join waitlist →
§06 · Waitlist

Limited intake for launch.

We're taking on a small cohort for the first quarterly cycle. Tell us who you read for and we'll get back to you.

Reserve your seat.

We review applications weekly. Expect a reply within five working days, in the language you write in. No auto-responders.

Cohort · Q2 2026 Seats · ~120 Contact · [email protected]